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A fair coin is tossed until a head comes up for first time. What is the probability of this happening on an odd tosses?

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A fair coin is tossed until a head comes up for the first time. What is the probability of this happening on an odd number tosses?

posted Jun 26, 2018 by anonymous

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You are playing a probability game with your friend using a fair coin. Both of you decide on a particular sequence that you have to achieve.

Let us suppose you chose the sequence to be: H T H
Your friend chose the sequence to be: H T T

Now you keep tossing coins until you get the sequence and the same is done by your friend. You keep doing that till you achieve your predefined sequence and keep writing the result on paper. At the end of the game the player whose average number of tosses will be lowest, he will win.

The results of the game 1 toss:
You: H T T H T H
Your score: 6
Your friend: H T H H H T H H T T
Your friends’ score: 10

The results of the game 2 toss:
You: T T H T T H H T H
Your score: 9
Your friend: T T H H T H T T
Your friends’ score: 8

The results of the game 3 toss:
You: T T H H T H
Your score: 6
Your friend: H H T H T T
Your friends’ score: 6

Now after 3 games, your average score is 7 and your friend’s average score is 8. Now assume that you keep playing the game and play many times. What will be the possible outcome of the following?

a) You win
b) Your friend win
c) Tie

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